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Massive Severe Weather Outbreak Threatens 100 Million Americans This Weekend//

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//Massive Severe Weather Outbreak Threatens 100 Million Americans This Weekend//

A massive storm system is set to unleash widespread severe weather, including destructive tornadoes, across the Midwest and the Southeast beginning Friday and continuing through Saturday. Forecasters warn that this could be one of the most significant severe weather events in recent years, affecting nearly 100 million people.

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Side-by-side maps for Friday (left) and Saturday (right) showing the Storm Prediction Center's threat levels for a severe weather outbreak. 

Major Severe Weather Threat Across the Midwest and Southeast

Meteorologists have issued high alerts, predicting multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms, powerful winds, large hail, and significant tornadoes. The National Weather Service (NWS) and Storm Prediction Center (SPC) have placed several states under a moderate risk (Level 4 of 5) on their threat scale, highlighting the potential for devastating storms.

Key Threats:

  • Friday: A severe weather outbreak will take shape in the Midwest, producing damaging straight-line winds, large hail, and tornadoes. A developing squall line is expected to move from Missouri through Illinois and into Indiana.

  • Saturday: A more volatile and dangerous setup is forecast across the Southeast, with a higher risk of long-track, violent tornadoes in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia.

  • Overnight tornadoes: The greatest concern is for tornadoes occurring at night, which are historically deadlier due to reduced visibility and fewer warnings reaching sleeping residents.

Cities Under Threat

The following major cities are within the severe weather danger zone:

  • Friday: St. Louis, MO; Memphis, TN; Des Moines, IA; Springfield, IL.

  • Saturday: New Orleans, LA; Baton Rouge, LA; Birmingham, AL; Montgomery, AL; Mobile, AL.

Alabama Governor Kay Ivey has declared a state of emergency ahead of the storms, emphasizing the need for preparedness.

"The state of Alabama is at risk for potentially dangerous, severe weather throughout this weekend, so it is critical that everyone stays very aware of their local forecasts." – Gov. Kay Ivey

Tornado Risk Intensifies on Saturday

Saturday’s storm system presents an especially high tornado risk, with meteorologists warning of long-track tornadoes capable of causing catastrophic damage. The SPC’s strong wording suggests the potential for significant tornadoes, some possibly EF3 or stronger.

“Numerous significant tornadoes, and some long-track tornadoes are expected on Saturday afternoon and evening, centered on eastern Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama,” – Storm Prediction Center (SPC) forecast.

Severe Weather & Climate Change

Climate scientists have been closely studying how climate change is impacting severe weather patterns. While the total number of tornadoes may not be increasing dramatically, their location and timing are shifting.

Key Climate Factors:

  • Rising global temperatures increase atmospheric instability, which can fuel more intense storms.

  • Warmer, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico can lead to larger storm systems, enhancing tornado potential.

  • The traditional Tornado Alley (Great Plains region) may be shifting southeastward, bringing more frequent outbreaks to states like Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia.

NOAA Staffing Cuts May Impact Forecasting Efforts

This severe weather outbreak will be an early test of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Weather Service (NWS) following recent staffing reductions. In late February, about 800 meteorologists and staff were laid off, causing some local weather offices to operate with minimal personnel. Additional layoffs may further strain the ability to issue timely warnings.

Some meteorologists have already been required to work additional overtime shifts to compensate for staffing shortages. A recent court ruling may temporarily reinstate some NOAA employees, but uncertainty remains over the agency's capacity to manage a large-scale, potentially deadly weather event.

How to Stay Safe During Severe Weather

With an event of this magnitude, it’s crucial for residents to be prepared and take necessary safety measures. Follow these key steps:

  1. Stay Informed: Monitor updates from the National Weather Service, local meteorologists, and emergency officials.

  2. Have Multiple Alert Sources: NOAA weather radios, emergency alerts on mobile phones, and TV/radio news are essential.

  3. Plan for Tornado Safety: Identify a safe location in your home—preferably a basement or small, windowless interior room.

  4. Prepare an Emergency Kit: Include water, non-perishable food, flashlights, batteries, first-aid supplies, and essential medications.

  5. Have a Communication Plan: Ensure family members know where to go and how to contact each other in case of separation.

  6. Secure Outdoor Items: High winds can turn loose objects into dangerous projectiles.

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